Jeremy Corbyn – a brief history of racism

Jeremy Corbyn is a racist. Margaret Hodge says so. The Jewish newspapers in the UK say so. Anyone sane with the ability to read says so.

But where is the evidence, I hear a thousand Corbynites shriek? Here. Below. Thirty separate events that are either concerning or outright racist, all of which point to a pattern of behaviour that shows disdain for Jewish concerns, a need to silence Jewish voices, and a hatred of Israel.

This is an homage to this piece by Guido on the 100 times Corbyn supported terror.

Enjoy.

Event Description Link
1 Leaving the chamber as Jewish female MPs were talking about their abuse at the hands of his fans CityAM
2 Praised release of Hamas terrorists on PressTV Express
3 Implied Israel was involved in false flag attacks against itself – knew instantly Israel was behind attacks, still thinks Russia is innocent Jpost
4 Hosted Raed Salah Guardian
5 Hosted Auschwitz to Gaza event & had police remove Jews from the event JC
6 Tried to get Holocaust Memorial day renamed Times of Israel
7 Compared Gaza to Stalingrad The Times
8 Failed to adopt IHRA definition Conversation
9 Accused a female Jewish MP of dual loyalties Jewish News
10 Listened to Peter Wilsman and said nothing New Statesman
11 Failed to kick Ken Livingstone out of the party Bbc 
12 Hounded Margaret Hodge within hours Guardian
13 Went after Ian Austin within hours Guardian
14 Whitewash Chakrabarti report Telegraph
15 Gaslit Jews by claiming their concerns were overblown Guardian
16 Two days later he said no one should dismiss their concerns – after dismissing their concerns Guardian
17 Spent the 80s calling Zionism racism Twitter
18 Asked Jewish groups about releasing an article on Friday, then ignored them ITV
19 Jewdas Seder FT
20 The mural he defended Guardian
21 Laid a wreath to the memory of a Munich attacker Times of Israel
22 Failed to take any action against racist Chris Williamson Twitter
23 Attacked Israel for defending itself – failed to criticise Palestinians JC
24 Called Hamas and Hezbollah friends You Tube
25 Attended Hezbollah rallies Daily Mail
26 Met with President Assad The Times
27 Attacked Jewish journalist for criticising him Times of Israel
28 Member of Palestine Live Huffington Post
29 Says Israel is deliberately targeting civilians You Tube
30 Is OK with Israel being called a disease Torch

I am not a journalist. I’m a researcher in the energy sector. The journalists I follow are far better at this than I am, and they could probably get this up to a nice, even 100.

The Leader of the Opposition is a racist.

The Pain Will Never Be Over

The oil industry has suffered over the past three years. Since the fall in oil prices in 2014 companies have gone bust, tens of thousands have lost their jobs, and hundreds of billions of dollars in spending has been delayed or cancelled.

Oil companies can be profitable again. Oil service contractors too. But the good times aren’t ever coming back.

renewable-energy-investment.png

The world is currently investing over US$250bn/yr in renewables. This compares to US$450bn/yr in oil and gas (I can’t find a source for coal). But the thing is – every penny invested in renewables eats the cake of oil and gas. With every new turbine installed part of a hydrocarbon fueled power station is replaced. With every solar panel installed, demand for hydrocarbons falls – and by more than the total installed power of the unit.

  1. The virtuous circle – efficiency increases throughout the chain
    1. The efficiency of solar panels and wind turbines increases, with more power captured per unit time
    2. Installation gets more efficient as best practise is adopted
    3. More installers move into the market and lower installation costs (a particular issue in the offshore wind sector where oil and gas service companies who previously ignored the market move in and professionalise the industry)
    4. More infrastructure installed means it’s easier to install the next marginal bit of infrastructure – you may need to install a second power line or upgrade a substation but it still requires much less investment
  2. Renewables go direct to energy – with hydrocarbons you have to find it, dig it up, ship it (likely several times) maybe refine it, and then eventually you can burn it to turn it into electricity. Renewables go direct, cutting out the transportation energy, cutting out the refining costs and pumping costs. So the total factor efficiency of renewables is actually measured far higher than hydrocarbons
  3. No one goes from an EV to IC – people who buy into EV buy into it for good. Petrol stations lose customers for good with every person who switches away from internal combustion engines – so if 10% of cars sold are EV in any one year, there’s every year of growth in EV behind that where those people may buy a car once every 5-10 years, but they’re not buying IC-engined cars.
  4. Storage – sorted. Everyone knows the issue with renewables nowadays is the ability to store energy. Something we are rapidly solving. And every day, as more and more electric vehicles are sold, we get closer to solving it. Part of the solution is going to come through using batteries that were once installed in a car for renewables storage. The cycle on a battery degrades it over time to the point where you eventually need to replace it to make the car efficient enough to be worthwhile once again. Those batteries that are replaced are still a valuable resource when it comes to storing energy.
  5. Autonomy – autonomous cars are going to be EV. And with autonomous cars the entire ownership model for cars changes, the number of cars needed falls (eating some more cake in the form of energy required for the heavy industry of car manufacturing)

The fossil fuel industry will still be around, for decades to come. Aviation and shipping will still use oil and gas. And heavy industry needs the heat intensity that you get from hydrocarbons, hydrocarbons are more efficient at this. Petrochemicals will become ever more important to the world as our population continues to grow. But when people talk about a supply gap of 10s of millions of barrels a day caused by declining production in the major producing fields globally – they fail to realise that renewables, through pricing power more than anything else now, are drinking their milkshake – not draining the fields. But ensuring it’s not worth pulling it out of the ground at all.

The stupidest thing you can do with oil is burn it

Nature gave us these incredible long-chain hydrocarbons, something that takes huge amounts of energy to create. Reworking those long chains into plastics and chemicals and a hundred other uses is the intelligent way to use them. Burning them built the modern world. And we should be thankful for that. But stopping burning them now makes sense as the cost of renewables has fallen to parity or even below hydrocarbons.

GE2017 Final Predictions

Vote Share

All are +/- 10% of the predicted vote and I’m 95% confident it will fall within those margins.

Tory – 46%

Labour – 37%

Lib Dem – 7%

UKIP – 3%

SNP – 4%

Others – 3%

Seat Count

Tory/Lab are +/- ten seats, others are +/- 10% at 95% confidence.

Tory – 374

Labour – 199

Lib Dem – 7

UKIP – 0 – :).

SNP – 47

PC – 4

Green – 1

Tory Majority of 98 (with all 650 MPs included)

My Bets

These are things I’ve got money on. Of the 34 bets, I now have zero confidence in 17 of them. So… Cash out?

Market Selection Type Odds
England Constituencies E – K / Hendon Labour Back 7.8
Wales Constituencies / Blaenau Gwent Plaid Cymru Back 5.5
2017 – UK General Election / Lib Dems Vote Percentage 10.01 – 15.0 Percent Back 2.38
2017 – UK General Election / Labour Vote Percentage 25.01 – 30.0 Percent Back 2.66
Scotland Constituencies / Edinburgh South Labour Back 2.06
2017 – UK General Election / Lib Dems U/O 2.5 Scottish Seats Over 2.5 Seats Back 2.1
2017 – UK General Election / Labour To Win A Seat in Scotland? No Back 2.26
2017 – UK General Election / Conservative U/O 385.5 Seats Over 385.5 Seats Back 1.4
2017 – UK General Election / Lib Dems U/O 14.5 Seats Under 14.5 Seats Back 1.5
2017 – UK General Election / Conservative U/O 399.5 Seats Over 399.5 Seats Back 2.02
2017 – UK General Election / Conservative U/O 7.5 Scottish Seats Over 7.5 Seats Back 1.7
2017 – UK General Election / UKIP Vote Percentage 5.0 Percent or Lower Back 1.53
2017 – UK General Election / UKIP To Win A Seat? No Back 1.13
2017 – UK General Election / Size Of Conservative Majority 200 – 224 Seats Back 14.5
2017 – UK General Election / Size Of Conservative Majority 175 – 199 Seats Back 9.8
2017 – UK General Election / Total Seats – Labour 100-149 Seats Back 2.84
2017 – UK General Election / Total Seats – Lib Dems 10-19 Seats Back 3.2
2017 – UK General Election / Total Seats – Conservative 400-449 Seats Back 2.92
2017 – UK General Election / Lib Dems U/O 28.5 Seats Under 28.5 Seats Back 1.81
2017 – UK General Election / Size Of Conservative Majority 125 – 149 Seats Back 5.4
2017 – UK General Election / SNP U/O 49.5 Seats Under 49.5 Seats Back 1.64
2017 – UK General Election / To Win A Seat Ed Balls Back 2
2017 – UK General Election / To Win A Seat Vince Cable Back 1.2
2017 – UK General Election / Conservative U/O 370.5 Seats Over 370.5 Seats Back 1.83
2017 – UK General Election / Lib Dems U/O 18.5 Seats Over 18.5 Seats Back 1.26
2017 – UK General Election / Lib Dems U/O 37.5 Seats Under 37.5 Seats Back 1.7
2017 – UK General Election / Labour U/O 218.5 Seats Under 218.5 Seats Back 1.2
2017 – UK General Election / Most Seats Conservative Back 1.07
2017 – UK General Election / Prime Minister After Election Theresa May Back 1.12
2017 – UK General Election / Overall Majority Conservative Majority Back 1.18
2017 – UK General Election / Labour Vote Percentage 20.01 – 25.0 Percent Back 2.56
2017 – UK General Election / Conservative U/O 337.5 Seats Over 337.5 Seats Back 1.18
UK – Party Leaders / Next Labour Leader Yvette Cooper Back 16

Interesting Seat Changes

Not so much predictions as me spouting.

Bolsover – Please, please, please let Dennis Skinner lose. His vicious bile against anything that smells like a Tory is tiresome and comes from the worst parts of our politics.

Farron – Believe name recognition (ha, a Lib Dem) may save him but interesting to see people so interested. Likely ends up like Nick Clegg last time with people wondering why they targetted him so heavily. (If he was targetted particularly heavily, him being a Lib Dem means I’ve paid as much attention as he deserves)

Lewis – Clive Lewis losing his seat would be spectacular. Not a Balls/Portillo moment – but for the future of the Labour party it’s better for this empty suit of a semi-Corbynista to lose. I reckon he will.

Gordon – Salmond to hold. Sadface.

Moray – Robertson to hold. Sadface.

Updated Modelled Figures

NB – I haven’t updated the model behind this at all since Comrade May’s awful manifesto. So some of the assumptions have had events overtake them. Hey ho.

Believe it sells SNP too much and buys Tory too little. Hence predictions above.

Con 342
Lab 234
SNP 44
Others 19
LD 6
PC 4
Green 1

 

Corbyn’s History

Here follows a very short summary of the myriad ways in which Corbyn is a wrong-un. None of this is a smear. None of this is untrue. Corbyn actively supports anyone who hates the West. Nick Cohen, who was way ahead of everyone on the depravity of the left with What’s Left, wrote it better than anyone else could.

A chorus of approval from ignorant cliché-mongers accompanied Jeremy Corbyn’s election as Labour’s leader. He was authentic. He was not afraid to say what he thought. He was not the creation of focus groups and media manipulators, but an honest man making a new politics.

Every claim they made was false. Jeremy Corbyn and the left he comes from cannot campaign for office by saying what they really think or they would horrify the bulk of the population. They say enough to keep their ‘base’ happy, and then dodge and twist when they speak to the rest of us. Far from being authentic, Jeremy Corbyn is one of the most dishonest politicians you will see in your lifetime.

The picture at the top – sure, let’s speak in front of a flag that represents gulags, genocide, democide, famine, war, misery. Communism killed 100 million in the last century. Not enough for him apparently.

ISIS

Aside from voting against bombing them, aside from saying joining ISIS is a political act and shouldn’t be prosecuted, he blames the west for their attacks on us

Cuba

His support for the brutal Castro regime and praise for a dead dictator.

Iran

A regime that regularly hangs gay people from cranes. Corbyn doesn’t mind, he’s happy to take their money. Anything to fund the revolution, comrade.

Saluting Iran – The same Iran that enjoys murdering gays and suppressing opposition.

Taking money (£20k) from Press TV – Yup. The moral Corbyn is fine taking money from a regime that hangs gays from cranes and was at the time trying to develop nukes to wipe out Israel. Press TV is also now banned in the UK because it’s pure propaganda.

IRA

His long founded and well-documented support for the IRA, during the worst of the Troubles, from his funneling of money to Sinn Fein, his inviting of terrorists to parliament after the Brighton bombing, after the Canary Wharf and Manchester bombings… His opposition to the Anglo-Irish Agreement.

Hezbollah

Who needs more? Oh wait.

Hamas

Calling for them to be removed from the banned list.

“It will be my pleasure and honor to host an event in Parliament where our friends from Hezbollah will be speaking,” Corbyn said in the clip. “I’ve also invited our friends from Hamas to come and speak as well. … So far as I’m concerned, that is absolutely the right function of using Parliamentary facilities.”

That’s pretty unequivocal.

Venezuela

Currently collapsing under the weight of socialism, with people eating their pets and flamingos – but naturally, Corbyn praised Chavez and Chavismo. Even Labour Uncut have a go at Corbyn for his support of Venezuela

Iraq

He remained on the Stop the War Coalition after they called for the murder of British soldiers. He later became Chairman.

“The Stop the War Coalition (StWC) reaffirms its call for an end to the occupation, the return of all British troops in Iraq to this country and recognises once more the legitimacy of the struggle of Iraqis, by whatever means they find necessary, to secure such ends”. Statement issued by the officers of the Stop the War Coalition, signed by Lindsey German, Convenor, and Andrew Murray, Chair of the StWC.

What more do you need?

 

Apartheid

He couldn’t even support the right anti-apartheid movement, too mainstream, too hipster for him. Idiot. He had to support the ‘one settler, one bullet’ side of the movement.

His allies

The idiocy, the awfulness of his comrades is also well documented. From Andrew Murray, Diane Abbot, John McDonnell, Ken Livingstone, Seumas Milne, George Galloway… he surrounds himself with anti-Semites and people who actively hate and want to destroy the UK. Damned by association? Absolutely.

Nothing Will Change

22 dead. Young girls will make up a significant proportion of the dead. 50 injured.

It’ll be confirmed as Islamist before the end of the day. And likely someone known to the intelligence services. And it’ll likely be homegrown.

There’ll be the backlash against Muslims by a few idiots. There’ll be a bigger backlash against those idiots. Nothing will change. Prejudices will be confirmed by everyone from every side. And instead of much being done the focus will be on the reverberating backlashes.

Nothing will change. The police and security services will learn some lessons. A politician or senior figure might retire. But at the cost of 19 dead and 50 injured no one will notice.

Nothing will change. Except for the families of the dead and wounded. Their worlds have changed but the focus will be on the noise and fury around them rather than any serious support given to them. Every side will use them as chess pieces.

Nothing will change. You can see that as a mantra of weakness or strength. Nothing will change, because the UK is too strong to be changed by terrorism. Nothing will change, because we don’t know how to face up to a generational, existential challenge like this any longer and don’t have the stomach to try.

The Homeless Liberals

I’m a liberal – free markets make for free people, the cycle reinforces itself with free people demanding further freedoms.

There is no political home for me in the UK – the Liberal Democrats are liberal in the loosest possible sense, but are not democratic and cannot hope to represent me. Labour are led by a man who wanted the IRA to win, who glorifies terrorism, and who takes money from Iran. UKIP are dead and have in the last five years gone from a party of fun if occasionally embarrassing semi-libertarians to the racist demagogues they became in order to win a few extra votes.

The Tories – ah the Tories – I’m a member of the Tory party. I will vote Tory in the coming election. But I am not a fan of Theresa May – her authoritarian instincts, her anti-market manifesto, and the continued ignoring of the importance of the deficit makes a mockery of the history of the party pro-market and pro-freedom.

It is not the place of government to inspire the country, to have a mission for the country. But a party should have an inspiring vision that drives it’s plan in government. There’s nothing wrong with having an ideology. With knowing where you want the government to go. With knowing that your plans are right and deserve to be implemented.

Under the strong and stable leadership of Theresa May, there will be no ideological crusades.

Be still my beating heart.

Because Conservatism is not and never has been the philosophy described by caricaturists. We do not believe in untrammelled free markets. We reject the cult of selfish individualism. We abhor social division, injustice, unfairness and inequality. We see rigid dogma and ideology not just as needless but dangerous.

Speak for yourself – free markets are conservative. Because they allow everything else to be paid for. Selfish individualism is the only thing that keeps the world pushing forward to the brighter future that generations of visionary capitalists have given us. Inequality isn’t an evil in itself – only if intergenerational inequality has become engrained to the point an oligarchy stifles growth and creative destruction. So long as there is equality of opportunity, inequality is not an issue. And dogma and ideology are not dangerous – but the way change can be forced through against inertia and resistance within the civil service. Michael Gove’s changes to the education system were ideological, dogmatic, and good.

There’s plenty that is fine within the Tory manifesto, scrapping the triple lock and the tax lock are smart. Changes to pensioner benefits are good. The social care policy is complicated but good. Scrapping Leveson 2 is good. These are the few bright spots in an otherwise statist manifesto.

Theresa May is likely to walk away with a triple digit majority – this is a chance to recast the UK, reforge it in the fire of Brexit as fit for the 21st Century. It is disappointing to see our authoritarian PM still insisting the internet needs regulating, not committing to get rid of the deficit as soon as possible, not committing to having tax as a percentage of GDP lower – even if individual taxes rise. There is no vision for the future of the NHS, tinkering around the edges of social care, and nothing new on autonomous cars and the data revolution that is increasingly moulding our world.

I’ll be voting conservative, but with David Cameron I had the idea of an ambitious vision for the UK – even if I disagreed with him over Brexit, I was happy to support him. Theresa May is a tedious authoritarian who will get good support in the shires and in the north of England, but refuses to be honest about the challenges facing the UK and thrust the UK unashamedly forward with the radical changes the country needs.

Go back to your constituencies and prepare for boredom!

Moore’s Law Meets Big Oil

Evolution, not revolution. Something that is true in almost all aspects of everyday life until you look around you and the world is completely different. When it comes to political systems I believe evolution leads to better outcomes than revolution, which almost always results in a body count.

But economics is different, driven by the market, technological change, and political influence – revolution is more common. Whether the growth in telegraph lines in the early US, where the Pony Express was set up in 1860 and destroyed by the transcontinental telegraph by 1861, or the growth of the internal combustion engine, or the internet.

Revolution happens fast in the economic world, and in technology, particularly so – driven by Moore’s law computers get faster and cheaper and so their applications grow rapidly.

The oil industry, insurance industry, auto-manufacture industry are all set for an almighty upset. This incredible report goes to something that has been apparent for a while, the oil industry is not likely to recover from this current downturn. Things will bump along for a few years but the market is not going to improve as the previously forecast demand growth simply will not happen. Electric vehicles are now viable, the running costs are low and so long as internal combustion engines see their negative externalities taxed (in the form of petrol duty in the UK), electric vehicles will become more and more competitive.

The market is not ready. Oil companies set their breakeven in the mid-50s, hoping to make money when demand returns. But demand for transportation will decline and continue declining. The environmental issues in China, the diesel scandal in Europe, the air quality concerns in London – all will put pressure on both emerging and developed markets to move more rapidly beyond combustion and towards EV.

The current consensus within the oil industry is that combustion vehicle sales will continue to outnumber EV sales long into the future. This is foolish and rests on a series of assumptions that don’t apply to EV combined with autonomous vehicles. Sales of autonomous electrical vehicles do not need to come close to sales of combustion, non-autonomous vehicles as the ownership of vehicles will change. This isn’t new – it’s the future business model for any automaker who wants to stay in business, but it is also not figured into forecasts for how disruptive EV will be.

Autonomous trucks are being trialled, autonomous vehicles as fleets that can work 24/7 servicing 10+ times as many people as a single car can today are already working in Tesloop. We’re rapidly approaching the inflexion point in the transportation industry, and as battery costs continue to drop towards the mining cost of Lithium, the curve for the adoption of EV becomes ever steeper.

The oil industry will be decimated by a fall in demand for oil – with huge geopolitical implications for the Middle East. The oil industry will still exist, but primarily as feedstock for chemicals and fuel for shipping and planes. The auto-industry will be decimated by a fall in sales and unless manufacturers adopt radically different business models and become first movers as Uber/Lyft type companies they will be swept away. The insurance industry will fail as the cost of insuring dramatically safer vehicles falls. This is all likely to happen before 2030, the world as we know it with petroleum running the world, will be completely different.

Moore’s law drives this – the fall in the cost of processing power makes autonomy work, and any economic process driven by Moore’s law will see gains along the same line – Moore’s law is coming to the transportation market.